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Umm. Scary! [Mar. 1st, 2005|11:02 am]
randomposting
[mood |intimidatedintimidated]
[music |Money (That's What I Want)]

Tens of millions could die from flu
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HONG KONG A global pandemic of avian influenza is "very, very likely" and could kill tens of millions of people worldwide, a top World Health Organization official said Monday.
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Governments should be prepared to close schools, office buildings and factories in case of a pandemic, and should work out emergency staffing to prevent a breakdown in basic public services like electricity and transport, said Dr. Shigeru Omi, the organization's regional director for Asia and the Pacific.
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Such arrangements may be needed if the disease infects 25 to 30 percent of the world's population, Omi said. That is the World Health Organization's estimate for what could happen if the disease - found mainly in chickens, ducks and other birds - develops the ability to spread easily from person to person.
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Deaths associated with the rapid spread of a new form of influenza would be high, he said. "We are talking at least 2 to 7 million, maybe more - 20 million or 50 million, or in the worst case, 100" million, he said.
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While many influenza experts have discussed similar figures privately, Omi's remarks represented the first time a top public health official had given such an estimate in public. But his remarks on the likelihood that the disease would start spreading easily went beyond the assessment of many scientists, who say that too little is known about the virus to gauge the odds that it will become readily transmissible.
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Dr. Malik Peiris, a top influenza researcher at Hong Kong University, said that Omi's range of potential fatalities was realistic and consistent with current research into the A(H5N1) avian influenza virus. The biggest questions, he said, were whether the disease would develop the ability to spread easily from person to person and, if it did, whether it would retain its current deadliness.
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"H5N1 in its present form has a pretty lethal effect on humans," he said.
-- Would you like to know more? http://www.iht.com/articles/2004/11/29/news/flu.html
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Comments:
[User Picture]From: popsimon
2005-03-01 09:37 am (UTC)
general rule - dont get cosy with birds......
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-01 12:37 pm (UTC)
Pandemics are not so fun.
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From: fairyinthefire
2005-03-01 10:53 am (UTC)
Thats a little worrying! How did the chickens get the flu in the first place?!
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-01 12:43 pm (UTC)
I guess they didn't get their vaccination.
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[User Picture]From: afropunk629
2005-03-01 11:00 am (UTC)
Mmmm... avian flu... wait, what?
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-01 01:21 pm (UTC)
:) Want me to put it in a song?
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[User Picture]From: sparklylights
2005-03-01 11:08 am (UTC)
BUT....they don't yet know if it will transfer from human to human yet so stop worrying.
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-01 01:22 pm (UTC)
Well.. it has transferred to humans all ready..
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[User Picture]From: benneh_boy3
2005-03-01 04:56 pm (UTC)
Oh great, so when the birds migrate to Australia from Asia I'll friggin get it.
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-01 05:18 pm (UTC)
You know it.
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From: razed_in_silver
2005-03-01 05:18 pm (UTC)
It wouldn't hurt too much for the world to have a decrease in population.. Though on a personal level I'd have to say that dying from the flu really must/would fucking suck.
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From: kiwioverture
2005-03-01 05:42 pm (UTC)
A decrease in population is better done with fewer births.

Free condoms, pills, and abortions for all.
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[User Picture]From: santiagodr_j
2005-03-01 05:40 pm (UTC)

Scary

I audited a class on Virus' a couple summers ago. The professor was talking about the use of antibiotics and the flu shot. I learned since the use of them the human anti-bodies have stopped mutating and getting stronger. So basically we have the same immune system that we did a hundred years ago, meanwhile the virus' have been mutating and getting stronger and stronger every few months. They haven't been able to catch up to us, but when they do we will be utterly defenseless, millions would die from the common flu. I think we are reaching that point right now.
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-01 06:11 pm (UTC)

Re: Scary

So it would appear.

Not so fun.
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From: hymn
2005-03-01 08:44 pm (UTC)
can i steal this?
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-02 10:54 am (UTC)
Always.
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[User Picture]From: geoffrey_lli
2005-03-01 11:27 pm (UTC)
...meep?
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-02 11:11 am (UTC)
Nothing important, just the future of humanity. No worries. :)
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[User Picture]From: rakuda_joba
2005-03-02 02:21 am (UTC)
Oh my god, the flu! Everyone run to the grocery store, buy some toiletpaper and bread, and come home to not leave your house untill next year.
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-02 11:16 am (UTC)
If it's airborne that won't help either. :)
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[User Picture]From: lynphoenyx
2005-03-06 06:42 pm (UTC)

deja vu

Ever read The Stand by Stephen King? The SuperFlu is what killed most of the world in that.
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[User Picture]From: randomposting
2005-03-06 07:20 pm (UTC)

Re: deja vu

I remember. I haven't seen it in years. I need to reread it.
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